Thailand lines up new winter routes and year-end festivals in a push for 2.7 trillion baht in 2026
TAT now forecasts 32.6-32.7 million foreign visitors this year and is leaning on the high season, from October's new flights to December's festivals, to close the gap to its 33 million target
The Tourism Authority of Thailand is putting its weight behind the final four months of 2026. As reported by The Nation on 11 September, TAT governor Thapanee Kiatphaibool said the agency is using a September to December programme of festivals, events and new air routes to reach 2.7 trillion baht in tourism revenue for the year. The target splits into 1.6 trillion baht from international visitors and 1.1 trillion baht from domestic travel. The Nation put 2025 receipts at 2.6 trillion baht.
The arrivals picture is more careful. TAT's latest base case is 32.6-32.7 million foreign visitors in 2026, a little short of the 33 million target it still hopes to reach, though Thapanee said this would exceed last year's total. Earlier in the year the agency had modelled a worst case of 28-31 million if the conflict continued beyond five to six months. That scenario has receded, and the governor described the outlook as improving. For 2027 the tourism and sports minister has set a stretch target of 3 trillion baht, which would bring revenue close to the 2019 level.
Air links do much of the work. TAT's October programme lists LOT Polish Airlines from Warsaw to Bangkok, Virgin Atlantic from London Heathrow to Phuket and Belavia from Minsk to Bangkok, alongside Vietjet services from Kuala Lumpur to Bangkok and from Ho Chi Minh City to Chiang Mai, Vietjet Thailand from Fukuoka to Bangkok, and Ruili Airlines from Xishuangbanna to both Chiang Mai and Bangkok. In December Loong Air adds Xi'an to Krabi, SAS flies from Copenhagen to Krabi and Phuket until late March 2027, Sunclass Airlines links Stockholm and Krabi until 25 April, and Norse Atlantic Airways connects London Gatwick with Phuket until mid-April.
The Middle East gets particular attention. Riyadh Air's new Riyadh to Bangkok service, whose first flight arrived on 3 September, runs three times a week and goes daily in October, adding about 3,840 inbound seats a month. TAT says Saudi visitors stay 10-12 days and spend around 110,000 baht per person per trip, often travelling in large family groups, and their interest is spreading from Bangkok, Phuket and Pattaya toward Krabi, Phang Nga, Koh Samui and Chiang Mai. The agency's target for the wider Middle East is 850,000 visitors in 2026.
The events calendar runs to the end of the year. October brings Nakhon Phanom's illuminated boat procession and full rehearsals of the Royal Barge Procession on 21-22 October. November has the Royal Barge Procession itself on 6 November, the Udon Thani International Horticultural Expo, Loy Krathong celebrations nationwide with Maha Loy Krathong in Ayutthaya, the Global Wellness Summit on 10-13 November and the Amazing Thailand Marathon Bangkok on 28-29 November. December closes with Wonderfruit on 3-7 December, Tomorrowland Thailand on 11-13 December, the Spartan Super World Championship in Chiang Rai and the star procession festival in Sakon Nakhon.
For a visitor, the practical reading is that the high season will be busy and more spread out than usual. Many of the new routes land in Krabi, Phuket and Chiang Mai rather than Bangkok, and several of the headline events take place in provinces such as Nakhon Phanom, Udon Thani, Sakon Nakhon and Chiang Rai, where public transport is thinner and a rented car or scooter is often the simplest way to reach a festival site or a beach beyond the main strip.
That is where a marketplace such as Balm Rentals fits in alongside local rental businesses. The app, available on iOS and Android, lists verified, licensed rental shops with the price, deposit and rental conditions shown before payment, and it works in the traveller's own language. A visitor arriving in Krabi on a December flight from Copenhagen can compare options before landing and collect a vehicle without working through the terms at a counter in an unfamiliar language. Booking early matters too: when flights, hotels and events peak at the same time, vehicles in the popular spots are the first to go.
TAT's own framing is value over volume: it wants visitors to stay longer, see more places and come back. Clear rental terms and a smooth first day on the road are a small part of that, but they are the part a traveller tends to remember. If the high-season plan works, 2026 will end slightly ahead of 2025 on both visitors and spending, with 2027 set up to aim higher.
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TAT targets 2.7 trillion baht in 2026 with high-season events and festivals
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